Scoreboard / IBM
IBM IBM
Issue No. 04 pick · July 17, 2026 · Updated September 4, 2026
Setup Snapshot
The Setup in One Card
How IBM moved and the catalyst behind the move, from its Issue No. 04 write-up. It is not on the current Scoreboard, so it carries no Friday Five Score this week.
Issue No. 04
Original Pick
Sector Trend
Slippingdown 1.4 percent
Covered In
Issue No. 04 · July 17, 2026
Catalyst
Profit WarningPreannounced a second quarter miss; worst single day drop in company history
Return measured from the Thursday, July 9 close to the Thursday, July 16 close, the week it appeared in Issue No. 04.
Why It Moved
The Story Behind the Move
Catalyst
Preannounced a second quarter miss; worst single day drop in company history
Why It Mattered
A preannounced miss on the highest value software segment undercuts the growth thesis that justified IBM's valuation, forcing a sharp de-rating.
Risk Note
If the budget shift toward AI hardware is structural rather than a one quarter blip, it caps IBM's key growth engine, and the drop is off a preliminary warning with full results due July 22 that could move it again.
Reader Takeaway
A warning is not a finished quarter: the first plunge is rarely the whole story, and the full report days later can bring a second move in either direction.
Continue the Research
Put IBM Back in Context
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